Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.460810 0.527225 0.596547 0.674021 0.757906 0.845724 0.944337
2024-12-22 0.359251 0.450333 0.550877 0.668981 0.802809 0.948709 1.118747
2024-12-29 0.304516 0.414763 0.542633 0.699258 0.883351 1.090448 1.338612
2025-01-05 0.248529 0.368844 0.515505 0.702522 0.929902 1.192979 1.515944
2025-01-12 0.204590 0.330801 0.492254 0.705973 0.973820 1.291387 1.689341
2025-01-19 0.174519 0.305999 0.481824 0.722380 1.031788 1.406190 1.883311
2025-01-26 0.151938 0.287860 0.477294 0.744263 1.095510 1.528007 2.086990
2025-02-02 0.132850 0.271741 0.473182 0.765023 1.156979 1.647156 2.288585
2025-02-09 0.110245 0.246560 0.453396 0.762245 1.186256 1.725217 2.439562
2025-02-16 0.095168 0.231033 0.445669 0.774628 1.234678 1.827371 2.621181
2025-02-23 0.078972 0.210721 0.428463 0.771721 1.261246 1.900802 2.766618
2025-03-02 0.061194 0.183901 0.398119 0.747122 1.256038 1.931414 2.856617
2025-03-09 0.052426 0.173234 0.393217 0.760472 1.304705 2.035049 3.043935
2025-03-16 0.041035 0.154362 0.372497 0.748120 1.315993 2.088513 3.166479
2025-03-23 0.036866 0.150842 0.377976 0.776495 1.386169 2.222195 3.395619
2025-03-30 0.029939 0.138802 0.366823 0.777469 1.415961 2.300991 3.552971
2025-04-06 0.024249 0.128165 0.356992 0.779648 1.447014 2.381464 3.713026
2025-04-13 0.020740 0.122560 0.356123 0.796252 1.499581 2.492071 3.914227
2025-04-20 0.018202 0.119105 0.359046 0.819031 1.561575 2.616254 4.134541
2025-04-27 0.015890 0.115611 0.361470 0.840808 1.622215 2.739057 4.353961
2025-05-04 0.012299 0.105968 0.349963 0.837647 1.644067 2.807080 4.499420
2025-05-11 0.010198 0.100993 0.347876 0.850706 1.691031 2.911005 4.694470
2025-05-18 0.007674 0.092590 0.337144 0.847539 1.712125 2.977888 4.839090